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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria 0–3 Alaves | 1.46–1.87 | 30% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Real Sociedad 0–0 Rayo Vallecano | 0.19–0.11 | 16% · 76% · 9% | Draw in line with xG |
| Las Palmas 1–2 Real Madrid | 0.73–2.30 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Barcelona 3–5 Villarreal | 2.21–2.18 | 41% · 20% · 40% | Close call, Villarreal won |
| Mallorca 0–1 Real Betis | 1.46–0.37 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Celta Vigo 0–1 Girona | 0.62–0.96 | 23% · 35% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Cadiz 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.36–0.24 | 25% · 60% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna | 0.83–1.39 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 50% |
| Atletico Madrid 2–0 Valencia | 2.38–0.53 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Getafe 2–0 Granada CF | 1.32–1.97 | 26% · 22% · 53% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.