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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 4–0 Mallorca | 1.91–0.37 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Valencia 2–1 Almeria | 1.44–1.94 | 29% · 22% · 49% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
| Granada CF 1–1 Las Palmas | 0.15–1.00 | 6% · 37% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Las Palmas had 58% |
| Alaves 1–3 Barcelona | 0.98–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Girona 0–0 Real Sociedad | 0.81–0.62 | 37% · 38% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 0–0 Cadiz | 1.15–0.70 | 46% · 31% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 0–3 Celta Vigo | 1.14–1.10 | 37% · 29% · 35% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Real Betis 1–1 Getafe | 1.60–1.51 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.87–1.17 | 54% · 23% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 54% |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla | 1.81–1.30 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.