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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz 0–2 Real Betis | 0.85–1.03 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Alaves 1–1 Villarreal | 1.84–0.95 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 58% |
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Osasuna | 1.68–0.41 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Real Madrid 4–0 Girona | 3.21–0.28 | 92% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Las Palmas 2–0 Valencia | 1.27–0.43 | 58% · 30% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| Getafe 3–2 Celta Vigo | 2.15–1.19 | 59% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Mallorca 2–1 Rayo Vallecano | 0.91–1.61 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Sevilla 1–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.03–1.55 | 25% · 25% · 49% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Barcelona 3–3 Granada CF | 2.27–1.43 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Barcelona had 56% |
| Almeria 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.88–0.66 | 38% · 36% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.