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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal 1–1 Getafe | 1.25–0.82 | 46% · 29% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 5–0 Las Palmas | 3.47–0.72 | 87% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Osasuna 2–0 Cadiz | 1.96–0.54 | 71% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Barcelona | 0.75–1.53 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 0–0 Sevilla | 1.05–0.04 | 64% · 35% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 64% |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real Madrid | 1.16–1.12 | 37% · 29% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Granada CF 1–1 Almeria | 1.99–1.41 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Granada CF had 51% |
| Mallorca 1–2 Real Sociedad | 0.13–1.13 | 4% · 33% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Real Betis 0–0 Alaves | 0.81–0.49 | 40% · 39% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletic Club 3–2 Girona | 1.78–2.10 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Close call, Athletic Club won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.