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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 22.3 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 1–3 Villarreal | 1.70–1.07 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
| Barcelona 4–0 Getafe | 3.17–0.49 | 88% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Alaves 1–1 Mallorca | 0.47–2.12 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 76% |
| Almeria 2–2 Atletico Madrid | 0.40–1.47 | 10% · 26% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Madrid had 64% |
| Cadiz 2–2 Celta Vigo | 2.23–0.69 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Cadiz had 73% |
| Real Betis 3–1 Athletic Club | 1.23–0.20 | 64% · 30% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Las Palmas 1–1 Osasuna | 0.70–0.77 | 29% · 37% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla | 0.99–0.90 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.17–0.55 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Granada CF 0–1 Valencia | 0.62–0.35 | 36% · 47% · 18% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.