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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.1 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 2–0 Cadiz | 1.96–0.81 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Mallorca 1–0 Granada CF | 1.60–0.42 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Osasuna 2–4 Real Madrid | 0.72–2.87 | 7% · 12% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Getafe 1–0 Girona | 1.10–1.60 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Athletic Club 2–0 Alaves | 1.74–1.32 | 47% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Sevilla 1–2 Celta Vigo | 1.69–1.44 | 44% · 24% · 33% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Las Palmas 0–1 Almeria | 0.94–0.77 | 38% · 34% · 28% | Close call, Almeria won |
| Villarreal 1–0 Valencia | 2.04–1.13 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Real Betis | 0.77–0.82 | 31% · 35% · 34% | Close call, Rayo Vallecano won |
| Atletico Madrid 0–3 Barcelona | 0.78–1.54 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.