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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 26.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona 1–0 Mallorca | 2.02–0.58 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 1–0 Getafe | 0.81–1.27 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Won against the xG: Valencia |
| Cadiz 2–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.11–0.88 | 41% · 31% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Cadiz |
| Granada CF 2–3 Real Sociedad | 1.77–2.23 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Girona 2–0 Osasuna | 1.89–0.21 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Alaves 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 0.61–0.64 | 29% · 41% · 30% | Close call, Alaves won |
| Las Palmas 0–2 Athletic Club | 1.25–0.79 | 47% · 29% · 23% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 4–0 Celta Vigo | 3.50–0.77 | 87% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Real Betis 2–3 Villarreal | 1.03–1.43 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Almeria 2–2 Sevilla | 1.61–2.23 | 28% · 20% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Sevilla had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.