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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.4 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.59–0.39 | 33% · 47% · 20% | Close call, Real Madrid won |
| Las Palmas 0–2 Girona | 1.63–1.89 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Almeria 1–3 Getafe | 2.36–1.66 | 53% · 20% · 27% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Alaves 3–0 Celta Vigo | 2.35–0.22 | 85% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Athletic Club | 0.92–0.99 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Cadiz 1–1 Mallorca | 0.35–0.94 | 13% · 37% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Granada CF 3–0 Osasuna | 2.17–0.88 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Villarreal 3–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.32–1.06 | 43% · 28% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Real Betis 1–1 Sevilla | 1.98–1.36 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 52% |
| Barcelona 4–2 Valencia | 2.21–2.13 | 42% · 20% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.