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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe 0–2 Athletic Club | 4.36–0.69 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Real Sociedad 2–0 Las Palmas | 0.58–0.52 | 30% · 44% · 26% | Close call, Real Sociedad won |
| Real Madrid 3–0 Cadiz | 2.33–0.96 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 4–2 Barcelona | 1.86–2.56 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Won against the xG: Girona |
| Mallorca 0–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.24–0.72 | 11% · 45% · 44% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Osasuna 0–2 Real Betis | 0.77–1.14 | 25% · 31% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Celta Vigo 3–2 Villarreal | 3.85–0.63 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Valencia 0–1 Alaves | 0.97–0.83 | 37% · 33% · 30% | Close call, Alaves won |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Almeria | 1.42–0.37 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Won against the xG: Almeria |
| Sevilla 3–0 Granada CF | 1.66–0.36 | 70% · 22% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.