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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.6 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 1–0 Mallorca | 1.15–0.51 | 52% · 32% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Osasuna 1–0 Valladolid | 2.48–0.23 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Girona 4–3 Leganes | 1.97–0.33 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Atletico Madrid 2–0 Las Palmas | 1.63–0.02 | 80% · 20% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Barcelona 3–1 Espanyol | 1.83–0.97 | 58% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Sevilla 0–2 Real Sociedad | 1.09–1.37 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Real Betis | 4.01–0.84 | 90% · 7% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 90% |
| Celta Vigo 1–0 Getafe | 1.95–0.56 | 71% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Villarreal 1–1 Rayo Vallecano | 1.32–1.49 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid | 0.89–2.01 | 16% · 21% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.