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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 25.1 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol 0–2 Sevilla | 1.17–0.66 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Valladolid 1–2 Villarreal | 0.94–2.31 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves | 1.88–0.94 | 59% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Las Palmas 1–0 Girona | 0.90–0.56 | 42% · 36% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona | 1.48–2.58 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Leganes 3–0 Celta Vigo | 1.62–0.92 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Leganes |
| Getafe 1–1 Valencia | 2.26–0.60 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 75% |
| Real Betis 1–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.94–0.54 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Real Sociedad 0–2 Osasuna | 1.65–0.98 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Mallorca 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.61–0.59 | 30% · 42% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.