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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.4 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 2–3 Valladolid | 0.49–2.50 | 5% · 13% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Valladolid |
| Athletic Club 4–1 Espanyol | 1.31–0.27 | 64% · 29% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Osasuna 1–2 Real Betis | 2.06–2.42 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Girona 0–1 Real Sociedad | 0.39–1.74 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.69–0.74 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Won against the xG: Real Madrid |
| Mallorca 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.03–0.59 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Leganes | 4.51–0.24 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Villarreal 1–1 Getafe | 0.91–1.98 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 62% |
| Barcelona 5–1 Sevilla | 3.86–0.92 | 88% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 2–3 Las Palmas | 1.65–1.14 | 49% · 24% · 26% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.