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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.3 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes 0–0 Valencia | 0.54–0.76 | 23% · 40% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 2–1 Mallorca | 0.93–1.81 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Getafe 1–1 Osasuna | 0.83–0.34 | 45% · 40% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Las Palmas 0–1 Celta Vigo | 1.37–0.76 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Valladolid 1–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.99–1.50 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Won against the xG: Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal | 0.47–1.15 | 15% · 32% · 53% | Won against the xG: Real Madrid |
| Girona 2–1 Athletic Club | 2.00–3.10 | 24% · 16% · 60% | Won against the xG: Girona |
| Alaves 0–3 Barcelona | 0.74–2.46 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Sevilla 1–0 Real Betis | 1.44–0.61 | 57% · 27% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Real Sociedad 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.00–0.54 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.