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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 27.2 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe 2–0 Valladolid | 0.59–1.13 | 19% · 32% · 49% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Valencia 4–2 Real Betis | 1.59–0.97 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Atletico Madrid 2–1 Alaves | 1.65–0.86 | 56% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Las Palmas 2–3 Mallorca | 1.21–1.70 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Girona 4–1 Espanyol | 3.36–0.42 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Celta Vigo 2–2 Barcelona | 2.60–1.72 | 57% · 18% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 57% |
| Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal | 1.08–2.57 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 69% |
| Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 0.89–0.85 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Leganes 0–3 Real Madrid | 0.12–1.90 | 2% · 16% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad | 1.34–0.70 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.