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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 23.3 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca 2–1 Valencia | 0.69–1.28 | 20% · 29% · 51% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Barcelona 1–2 Las Palmas | 2.30–0.50 | 78% · 15% · 6% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
| Alaves 1–1 Leganes | 1.05–0.98 | 37% · 31% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 3–1 Celta Vigo | 0.85–1.50 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Valladolid 0–5 Atletico Madrid | 0.47–3.99 | 2% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Villarreal 2–2 Girona | 2.02–0.54 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 72% |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Getafe | 2.58–0.40 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.18–0.71 | 9% · 46% · 45% | Close call, Athletic Club won |
| Real Sociedad 2–0 Real Betis | 0.79–0.39 | 42% · 41% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna | 1.34–0.75 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Sevilla had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.