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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 22.0 xG (1.36 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 2–0 Mallorca | 0.87–0.84 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Las Palmas 2–1 Valladolid | 1.10–1.41 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Close call, Las Palmas won |
| Real Betis 2–2 Barcelona | 2.87–0.46 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 86% |
| Valencia 0–1 Rayo Vallecano | 1.22–0.90 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Won against the xG: Rayo Vallecano |
| Girona 0–3 Real Madrid | 0.33–0.97 | 12% · 37% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Leganes 0–3 Real Sociedad | 0.64–1.81 | 13% · 22% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Athletic Club 2–0 Villarreal | 1.08–0.53 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Osasuna 2–2 Alaves | 1.84–1.54 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 4–3 Sevilla | 2.04–0.39 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Getafe 1–0 Espanyol | 0.37–0.79 | 16% · 41% · 43% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.