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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.3 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid 1–0 Valencia | 0.55–0.85 | 22% · 38% · 40% | Won against the xG: Valladolid |
| Espanyol 0–0 Osasuna | 0.32–0.29 | 21% · 59% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mallorca 2–1 Girona | 1.14–0.82 | 43% · 31% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Sevilla 1–0 Celta Vigo | 0.58–1.17 | 18% · 31% · 50% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Madrid | 1.64–0.65 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 61% |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Getafe | 1.67–0.21 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Alaves 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.93–0.62 | 41% · 35% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis | 2.05–0.79 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Real Sociedad 0–0 Las Palmas | 1.11–0.85 | 41% · 31% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Barcelona 0–1 Leganes | 2.67–0.43 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Won against the xG: Leganes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.