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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.4 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 3–0 Valladolid | 2.58–0.02 | 92% · 8% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Getafe 0–1 Mallorca | 0.83–1.90 | 16% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Celta Vigo 2–0 Real Sociedad | 1.21–0.32 | 59% · 31% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Osasuna 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.60–1.18 | 19% · 31% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Barcelona 1–2 Atletico Madrid | 2.54–0.63 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Won against the xG: Atletico Madrid |
| Valencia 2–2 Alaves | 1.44–1.61 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla | 2.00–1.32 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Leganes 2–5 Villarreal | 1.25–3.29 | 11% · 13% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Las Palmas 1–0 Espanyol | 0.91–0.73 | 38% · 35% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| Real Betis 1–1 Rayo Vallecano | 2.14–0.91 | 66% · 20% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.