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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 31.1 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol 2–1 Valladolid | 1.01–1.24 | 30% · 28% · 41% | Close call, Espanyol won |
| Girona 1–2 Sevilla | 1.22–2.66 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Leganes 1–0 Atletico Madrid | 0.41–2.42 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Won against the xG: Leganes |
| Real Betis 1–3 Alaves | 0.53–1.49 | 13% · 26% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Getafe 1–1 Barcelona | 1.32–2.35 | 20% · 19% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Barcelona had 60% |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.59–1.83 | 11% · 21% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Las Palmas | 5.90–1.16 | 95% · 3% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano | 0.76–0.76 | 32% · 36% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad | 1.64–0.81 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Villarreal 4–0 Mallorca | 2.44–0.52 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.