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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.7 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 1–1 Osasuna | 0.79–2.70 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 78% |
| Mallorca 0–1 Real Betis | 1.01–0.46 | 48% · 35% · 17% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Atletico Madrid 1–1 Villarreal | 1.71–2.23 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sevilla 1–1 Espanyol | 1.20–0.69 | 48% · 30% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valladolid 0–3 Real Madrid | 0.19–1.99 | 3% · 16% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Girona | 2.41–0.99 | 69% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Sociedad 0–3 Getafe | 0.96–1.45 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Athletic Club 0–0 Leganes | 2.08–0.86 | 66% · 20% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 66% |
| Barcelona 7–1 Valencia | 4.45–1.43 | 86% · 8% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Alaves 1–1 Celta Vigo | 0.95–0.12 | 57% · 38% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.