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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valladolid | 2.53–0.42 | 83% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Celta Vigo 3–2 Real Betis | 2.26–1.29 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Athletic Club 3–0 Girona | 3.64–0.06 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Las Palmas 1–2 Villarreal | 1.44–0.89 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
| Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.69–1.54 | 42% · 23% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alaves 0–1 Getafe | 1.43–0.87 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Valencia 2–0 Leganes | 1.92–0.46 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol | 1.67–0.87 | 56% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Sevilla 1–4 Barcelona | 0.79–1.93 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Mallorca 1–1 Osasuna | 1.24–1.50 | 31% · 25% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.