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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 25.2 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 1–2 Getafe | 0.80–0.62 | 37% · 38% · 26% | Close call, Getafe won |
| Leganes 3–3 Alaves | 1.81–1.77 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 1–1 Real Madrid | 1.88–1.38 | 49% · 22% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 1–1 Celta Vigo | 0.55–1.75 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 67% |
| Villarreal 1–1 Valencia | 1.41–1.07 | 45% · 27% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.72–1.07 | 24% · 32% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valladolid 0–4 Sevilla | 0.47–1.06 | 16% · 34% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas | 1.68–0.96 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Real Betis 3–0 Real Sociedad | 2.31–0.36 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.53–0.99 | 71% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.