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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna | 1.96–1.21 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Alaves 0–1 Espanyol | 1.77–0.37 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Villarreal | 0.63–0.56 | 31% · 42% · 27% | Close call, Villarreal won |
| Valencia 0–3 Atletico Madrid | 0.86–1.28 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Las Palmas 0–2 Barcelona | 0.47–1.47 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 7–1 Valladolid | 3.80–0.45 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Girona | 2.18–0.45 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Getafe 1–2 Real Betis | 1.13–2.04 | 21% · 21% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Real Sociedad 3–0 Leganes | 0.75–0.23 | 45% · 44% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Sevilla 1–1 Mallorca | 1.29–2.28 | 21% · 20% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 60% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.