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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid 1–1 Las Palmas | 1.99–0.18 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Valladolid had 81% |
| Girona 2–2 Celta Vigo | 0.71–1.85 | 14% · 22% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 65% |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla | 2.58–0.57 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 81% |
| Real Betis 2–1 Real Madrid | 2.39–1.13 | 65% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club | 2.25–1.12 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Leganes 1–0 Getafe | 0.94–0.33 | 50% · 37% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Leganes |
| Barcelona 4–0 Real Sociedad | 2.85–0.00 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Mallorca 1–1 Alaves | 1.18–1.71 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 3–3 Valencia | 1.52–1.73 | 34% · 23% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 1–0 Espanyol | 1.48–0.97 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.