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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 2–1 Leganes | 0.98–1.06 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Alaves 1–0 Villarreal | 1.07–2.85 | 11% · 15% · 74% | Won against the xG: Alaves |
| Valencia 2–1 Valladolid | 1.91–0.89 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Getafe 2–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.19–0.97 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano | 1.60–1.02 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Mallorca | 0.56–0.58 | 28% · 43% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Betis 1–0 Las Palmas | 2.31–0.63 | 75% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Sevilla | 0.75–0.58 | 36% · 39% · 25% | Close call, Sevilla won |
| Espanyol 1–1 Girona | 0.27–1.56 | 6% · 24% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Girona had 70% |
| Barcelona 3–0 Osasuna | 3.19–0.40 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.