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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.5 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 2–2 Alaves | 1.77–1.49 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valladolid 0–1 Celta Vigo | 0.67–1.58 | 16% · 25% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Mallorca 2–1 Espanyol | 2.69–0.22 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.64–1.01 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Won against the xG: Real Madrid |
| Girona 1–1 Valencia | 0.93–1.13 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Leganes 2–3 Real Betis | 1.04–2.69 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club | 0.46–1.30 | 13% · 29% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad | 0.56–0.57 | 28% · 43% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 1–2 Getafe | 1.64–0.51 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Atletico Madrid 2–4 Barcelona | 1.36–1.26 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, Barcelona won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.