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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 2–1 Valladolid | 0.72–0.72 | 31% · 38% · 31% | Close call, Real Sociedad won |
| Espanyol 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.94–0.64 | 41% · 35% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alaves 0–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.58–0.57 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Won against the xG: Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Madrid 3–2 Leganes | 2.87–2.87 | 41% · 17% · 41% | Close call, Real Madrid won |
| Getafe 1–2 Villarreal | 1.04–1.26 | 31% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Barcelona 4–1 Girona | 2.63–0.49 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 0–0 Osasuna | 0.70–0.36 | 39% · 44% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valencia 1–0 Mallorca | 0.69–0.60 | 33% · 40% · 27% | Close call, Valencia won |
| Real Betis 2–1 Sevilla | 1.07–0.70 | 44% · 32% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Las Palmas | 0.98–0.33 | 51% · 36% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.