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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.4 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia 1–0 Sevilla | 1.25–0.81 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Real Sociedad 0–2 Mallorca | 0.70–0.52 | 35% · 41% · 24% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| Getafe 1–3 Las Palmas | 1.67–1.30 | 46% · 24% · 30% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
| Celta Vigo 0–2 Espanyol | 0.91–1.21 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Leganes 0–1 Barcelona | 0.72–1.35 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Osasuna 2–1 Girona | 1.43–0.93 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.60–0.91 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Real Betis 1–2 Villarreal | 1.46–1.45 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Close call, Villarreal won |
| Athletic Club 3–1 Rayo Vallecano | 1.63–1.63 | 38% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Atletico Madrid 4–2 Valladolid | 3.62–1.33 | 79% · 11% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.