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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 28.3 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis 2–0 Leganes | 2.12–0.10 | 85% · 13% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Mallorca 1–2 Villarreal | 0.35–1.77 | 7% · 21% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Espanyol 3–2 Alaves | 1.56–2.26 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Sevilla 1–0 Getafe | 1.41–0.99 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Real Sociedad 0–2 Real Madrid | 1.07–2.38 | 15% · 18% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Celta Vigo 3–1 Valladolid | 1.84–0.51 | 70% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Girona 1–4 Barcelona | 1.35–1.82 | 29% · 23% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Las Palmas 2–3 Athletic Club | 1.16–2.24 | 19% · 20% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Atletico Madrid 3–0 Valencia | 3.24–0.15 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna | 1.68–0.33 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.