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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.4 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 2–1 Sevilla | 1.10–0.52 | 50% · 33% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Valladolid 0–0 Real Sociedad | 1.02–1.47 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 2–1 Las Palmas | 1.91–1.00 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Valencia 2–0 Girona | 0.42–0.37 | 25% · 53% · 22% | Close call, Valencia won |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol | 4.46–0.34 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Getafe 1–1 Leganes | 1.49–0.56 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 60% |
| Athletic Club 3–1 Celta Vigo | 0.79–1.33 | 22% · 28% · 49% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Villarreal 1–5 Barcelona | 2.11–4.08 | 16% · 12% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.83–0.56 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 68% |
| Real Betis 1–2 Mallorca | 1.03–1.02 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Close call, Mallorca won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.