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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 1–3 Rayo Vallecano | 0.56–3.43 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Villarreal 2–0 Oviedo | 2.44–0.93 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Mallorca 0–3 Barcelona | 0.21–2.13 | 3% · 14% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Alaves 2–1 Levante | 1.29–0.87 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad | 2.04–0.81 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 66% |
| Celta Vigo 0–2 Getafe | 0.73–1.43 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla | 2.89–1.01 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.26–1.10 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Elche 1–1 Real Betis | 0.64–1.86 | 12% · 21% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 67% |
| Real Madrid 1–0 Osasuna | 1.64–0.36 | 70% · 23% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.