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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.0 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla | 1.61–0.23 | 73% · 22% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Girona 3–3 Oviedo | 2.03–1.79 | 44% · 21% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Espanyol 1–0 Elche | 1.93–0.86 | 62% · 21% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Athletic Club 0–1 Getafe | 0.39–0.93 | 15% · 37% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Valencia 0–2 Villarreal | 0.80–2.18 | 12% · 19% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Mallorca 1–1 Levante | 1.58–2.08 | 29% · 21% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona | 3.63–1.03 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Osasuna 2–3 Celta Vigo | 2.31–1.96 | 47% · 20% · 34% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves | 1.18–0.84 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Betis 0–2 Atletico Madrid | 1.07–0.60 | 47% · 33% · 20% | Won against the xG: Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.