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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 26.6 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo 0–2 Espanyol | 0.77–3.74 | 4% · 7% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Sevilla 1–3 Mallorca | 1.26–1.85 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Barcelona 2–1 Girona | 1.61–1.55 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Villarreal 2–2 Real Betis | 0.66–1.18 | 21% · 31% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna | 2.58–1.14 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Elche 0–0 Athletic Club | 1.08–0.25 | 57% · 34% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Elche had 57% |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Real Sociedad | 0.95–1.55 | 23% · 26% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 51% |
| Levante 0–3 Rayo Vallecano | 0.91–1.55 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Getafe 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.52–2.30 | 7% · 16% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Alaves 0–0 Valencia | 0.74–0.45 | 38% · 41% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.