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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 27.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad | 0.80–1.36 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 50% |
| Girona 1–0 Alaves | 0.85–1.84 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Won against the xG: Girona |
| Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna | 1.70–1.29 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Levante | 2.92–1.19 | 73% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Espanyol 0–2 Villarreal | 0.50–1.61 | 11% · 24% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Oviedo | 1.70–0.22 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid | 1.20–0.98 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mallorca 1–0 Getafe | 1.11–0.75 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Valencia 1–1 Real Betis | 1.94–1.60 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Celta Vigo 2–4 Barcelona | 0.58–3.31 | 3% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.