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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia 1–0 Levante | 1.49–0.72 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Alaves 0–1 Celta Vigo | 0.67–1.37 | 18% · 28% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Barcelona 4–0 Athletic Club | 2.00–0.80 | 65% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Osasuna 1–3 Real Sociedad | 1.34–1.63 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Villarreal 2–1 Mallorca | 2.23–1.02 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Oviedo 0–0 Rayo Vallecano | 0.43–1.74 | 9% · 22% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 70% |
| Real Betis 1–1 Girona | 1.42–1.46 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Getafe 0–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.70–0.99 | 25% · 34% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Elche 2–2 Real Madrid | 1.44–3.49 | 12% · 12% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 76% |
| Espanyol 2–1 Sevilla | 1.09–1.82 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.