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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.0 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo 0–0 Mallorca | 1.18–0.68 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 2–0 Getafe | 0.61–0.22 | 39% · 50% · 11% | Close call, Villarreal won |
| Alaves 1–0 Real Sociedad | 1.39–1.17 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Real Betis 3–5 Barcelona | 2.51–2.83 | 36% · 18% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.15–0.69 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Elche 3–0 Girona | 2.03–0.94 | 63% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Valencia 1–1 Sevilla | 1.19–0.32 | 59% · 31% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 59% |
| Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.33–0.25 | 65% · 28% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
| Real Madrid 0–2 Celta Vigo | 2.46–1.55 | 58% · 19% · 23% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Osasuna 2–0 Levante | 1.05–0.48 | 49% · 34% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.