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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.6 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 1–2 Girona | 0.95–1.43 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Atletico Madrid 2–1 Valencia | 1.01–1.17 | 31% · 29% · 39% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Mallorca 3–1 Elche | 2.44–0.29 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Mallorca |
| Barcelona 2–0 Osasuna | 2.41–0.37 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Getafe 0–1 Espanyol | 0.26–0.50 | 15% · 53% · 32% | Close call, Espanyol won |
| Sevilla 4–0 Oviedo | 2.03–0.64 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club | 1.35–1.61 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Close call, Celta Vigo won |
| Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid | 1.36–1.83 | 29% · 23% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Betis | 1.86–0.81 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 62% |
| Levante 0–1 Villarreal | 0.92–2.40 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.