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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 29.1 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia 1–1 Mallorca | 1.42–0.19 | 69% · 26% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 69% |
| Oviedo 0–0 Celta Vigo | 0.63–0.66 | 29% · 40% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Levante 1–1 Real Sociedad | 1.29–1.38 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 3–0 Alaves | 2.21–0.57 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla | 2.33–1.56 | 55% · 20% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 0–3 Atletico Madrid | 1.06–0.90 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Villarreal 0–2 Barcelona | 1.66–2.72 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano | 2.41–0.95 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Real Betis 4–0 Getafe | 3.30–1.42 | 74% · 13% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Athletic Club 1–2 Espanyol | 1.59–0.90 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.