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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 31.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Getafe | 0.89–0.77 | 36% · 34% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia | 2.70–1.94 | 54% · 18% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.67–1.46 | 17% · 27% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 56% |
| Elche 1–3 Villarreal | 1.31–1.52 | 33% · 25% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Espanyol 0–2 Barcelona | 1.43–1.67 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Sevilla 0–3 Levante | 1.70–1.03 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Won against the xG: Levante |
| Real Madrid 5–1 Real Betis | 2.94–1.06 | 76% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Alaves 1–1 Oviedo | 1.72–2.44 | 27% · 19% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Oviedo had 54% |
| Mallorca 1–2 Girona | 1.26–1.51 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Real Sociedad 1–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.73–1.25 | 49% · 24% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.