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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona 3–1 Atletico Madrid | 3.60–0.98 | 85% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid | 0.84–2.21 | 13% · 19% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Getafe 1–2 Real Sociedad | 0.24–1.11 | 8% · 33% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Oviedo 1–1 Real Betis | 1.24–2.24 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 60% |
| Villarreal 3–1 Alaves | 1.50–0.94 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Girona 1–0 Osasuna | 0.65–1.41 | 17% · 27% · 55% | Won against the xG: Girona |
| Valencia 1–1 Elche | 1.96–0.16 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Valencia had 82% |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Mallorca | 2.37–0.72 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Levante 1–1 Espanyol | 1.11–1.36 | 31% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sevilla 0–1 Celta Vigo | 0.27–1.63 | 6% · 22% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.