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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 27.4 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante 3–2 Elche | 2.61–0.65 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna | 0.77–1.22 | 23% · 30% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Valencia 3–2 Espanyol | 2.55–1.35 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club | 2.07–2.14 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Close call, Sevilla won |
| Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid | 0.58–1.58 | 13% · 25% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Atletico Madrid 3–0 Mallorca | 1.48–0.46 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Barcelona 3–0 Oviedo | 2.09–0.48 | 75% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Sociedad 3–1 Celta Vigo | 1.61–1.60 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Alaves 2–1 Real Betis | 1.27–1.38 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, Alaves won |
| Girona 1–1 Getafe | 0.75–0.80 | 31% · 36% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.