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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante 2–0 Alaves | 2.48–1.31 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Club | 1.44–0.54 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 59% |
| Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal | 3.20–1.31 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Mallorca 0–1 Real Sociedad | 0.66–0.43 | 36% · 44% · 21% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad |
| Oviedo 0–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.10–0.97 | 38% · 30% · 32% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Elche 2–2 Espanyol | 1.90–0.73 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Elche had 65% |
| Valencia 1–0 Osasuna | 1.56–0.32 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Real Betis 2–2 Sevilla | 1.58–0.94 | 52% · 25% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 52% |
| Girona 1–2 Celta Vigo | 1.37–0.60 | 56% · 28% · 16% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Real Madrid 0–1 Getafe | 1.91–0.49 | 72% · 20% · 9% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.