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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 30.1 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad | 3.70–1.08 | 84% · 9% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Elche 2–1 Mallorca | 1.60–1.37 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Espanyol 1–2 Getafe | 1.75–1.51 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Getafe won |
| Levante 4–2 Oviedo | 1.82–1.34 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Osasuna 1–0 Girona | 1.71–0.21 | 76% · 20% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Sevilla 0–2 Valencia | 0.40–1.81 | 7% · 20% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.39–1.56 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Close call, Barcelona won |
| Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves | 1.84–1.83 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Close call, Alaves won |
| Athletic Club 2–1 Real Betis | 1.26–0.47 | 56% · 30% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 3–2 Atletico Madrid | 2.41–1.00 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.