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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche | 1.35–0.44 | 60% · 28% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante | 2.78–0.28 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid | 1.22–1.28 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| Real Betis 0–0 Espanyol | 1.38–0.20 | 68% · 27% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 68% |
| Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona | 0.92–2.52 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Getafe 2–0 Athletic Club | 1.94–0.57 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo | 0.80–1.05 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla | 0.48–0.66 | 23% · 43% · 34% | Close call, Oviedo won |
| Alaves 2–2 Osasuna | 2.07–1.31 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 55% |
| Girona 1–0 Villarreal | 0.48–0.55 | 25% · 46% · 29% | Close call, Girona won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.