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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid 1–1 Girona | 2.30–0.52 | 78% · 16% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Real Madrid had 78% |
| Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves | 0.94–1.13 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Elche 1–0 Valencia | 0.59–2.54 | 7% · 14% · 80% | Won against the xG: Elche |
| Barcelona 4–1 Espanyol | 2.81–1.17 | 71% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid | 1.85–0.84 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis | 1.45–0.41 | 63% · 26% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 63% |
| Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.68–1.95 | 34% · 22% · 45% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| Celta Vigo 0–3 Oviedo | 0.91–1.71 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Oviedo |
| Athletic Club 1–2 Villarreal | 1.20–1.29 | 34% · 27% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Levante 1–0 Getafe | 2.90–0.29 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.