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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.0 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna | 0.54–1.21 | 17% · 31% · 53% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Mallorca 1–1 Valencia | 1.82–1.68 | 42% · 22% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Girona 2–3 Real Betis | 1.36–1.04 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves | 1.62–1.76 | 36% · 23% · 42% | Close call, Real Madrid won |
| Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid | 2.78–1.01 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Elche |
| Real Sociedad 0–1 Getafe | 1.89–0.12 | 81% · 17% · 2% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Barcelona 1–0 Celta Vigo | 1.23–1.41 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Close call, Barcelona won |
| Levante 2–0 Sevilla | 1.53–0.28 | 69% · 24% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol | 1.60–1.96 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Close call, Rayo Vallecano won |
| Oviedo 1–1 Villarreal | 0.80–1.39 | 22% · 28% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.