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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 26.0 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Girona 0–1 Mallorca | 1.72–1.09 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Villarreal 5–1 Levante | 2.36–0.76 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid | 1.09–2.04 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club | 0.49–0.93 | 19% · 37% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona | 0.91–1.21 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche | 1.05–1.71 | 23% · 24% · 53% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.38–0.83 | 50% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Betis 3–0 Oviedo | 1.53–1.59 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Real Betis won |
| Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid | 1.21–2.08 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad | 1.82–0.16 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.