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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.8 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante 3–2 Osasuna | 3.22–0.63 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Elche 1–1 Alaves | 1.39–2.05 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Alaves had 53% |
| Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol | 1.38–0.61 | 56% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Atletico Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo | 2.18–0.13 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Real Sociedad 2–2 Real Betis | 2.40–1.94 | 49% · 19% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal | 1.74–1.12 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 52% |
| Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia | 0.93–1.19 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Oviedo 0–0 Getafe | 0.54–1.36 | 15% · 28% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Getafe had 57% |
| Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid | 1.01–0.85 | 38% · 32% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona | 1.20–0.98 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.