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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo | 2.49–0.15 | 89% · 10% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 89% |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona | 1.97–2.17 | 36% · 20% · 44% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Elche 1–0 Getafe | 0.66–0.11 | 45% · 50% · 6% | Close call, Elche won |
| Levante 2–0 Mallorca | 2.44–0.34 | 84% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Levante |
| Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol | 1.72–0.79 | 60% · 24% · 17% | Won against the xG: Espanyol |
| Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal | 1.49–0.97 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia | 1.15–1.67 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Oviedo 0–1 Alaves | 0.45–1.46 | 11% · 26% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.72–1.00 | 26% · 33% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis | 1.12–0.97 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.