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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 28.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla 2–2 Elche | 0.40–0.95 | 15% · 37% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Getafe 2–0 Oviedo | 0.75–0.46 | 39% · 41% · 20% | Close call, Getafe won |
| Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid | 2.23–2.42 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Athletic Club 0–1 Alaves | 1.08–0.09 | 63% · 34% · 3% | Won against the xG: Alaves |
| Atletico Madrid 2–0 Villarreal | 1.01–1.03 | 34% · 30% · 35% | Close call, Atletico Madrid won |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Girona | 2.50–0.64 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 78% |
| Levante 2–2 Real Betis | 0.73–2.12 | 12% · 19% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Real Betis had 70% |
| Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.59–1.09 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Barcelona 6–0 Valencia | 4.02–0.18 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Espanyol 3–2 Mallorca | 2.46–2.23 | 45% · 19% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Espanyol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.